The Keselowski from previous years would have been a ridiculous value in Michigan starting from the 33rd slot. The gentlemen will start their engines at Michigan International Speedway today, and the lineup is set, with Bubba Wallace sitting in pole position for the first time in his career. Chase Elliott qualifying at 13th also seems like a gift with his prominent run of late and success at superspeedways. On a good day, Alfredo will post a top 25. Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality. That means its the final time we get to play on DraftKings with this layout. Keep in mind that theres rain expected most of Saturday, so you might not get to see how drivers will perform in their limited practice time. begin to evolve, Busch could make a serious statement with a second win in as many weeks, and with Top-5 finishes in this race each of the past two years, it's certainly within his grasp. The order is not based on the highest projected fantasy totals, but rather by the value of each driver. Did You Notice? Tyler Reddick 5. Copyright Rain and snow washed out practice and qualifying on Saturday, so we have no data to analyze ahead of Sundays race. Note: Stats below include Cup only at Martinsville Speedway, Bristol Motor Speedway and Richmond Raceway, Kyle Larson ($10,800)Career at Auto Club: 8 starts, 2 wins, 4 top fives, 4 top 10sAverage finish at Auto Club: 13.0. Now hes piloting a Toyota at 23XI Racing, and I have no doubt he can show up with speed once again on Sunday. DENNY HAMLIN (3): What should we do with Hamlin and his Dr. These practice times can provide very useful fantasy information if the times can be properly interpreted. Reddick also had a top five average speed in this same category at the first Darlington race, coming home in second place. Last year, Busch finished 9th in Stage #1, won Stage #2, had the 4th best Total Speed Ranking, led 13 laps and then finished 7th when the checkered flag waved. That came just four weeks after his first win -- and he also had a runner-up in between -- so Reddick is streaking heading into Michigan. Usually the scheduled is filled with 1.5 and 2-mile ovals, but NASCAR decided to replace Kentucky, Chicago and California with road courses. Ill note, it wasnt a huge issue, but it certainly didnt help. Obviously Larson is the favorite to dominate Sundays race, but Chase Elliott has shown flashes of similar speed in this 550 hp package this season. 9 car for Watkins Glen). Copyright 1995 - 2023
Youll get to compete against me and some of my colleagues. 10 Smithfield Ford ranked second in average running position (behind Jones) among drivers in this group at high tire wear races in 2022, which, combined with the best average finish, suggests he should be shorter than the other two drivers listed at +500 and priced closer to Jones. That does not mean anything if the Cup Series has another first-time winner. Christopher Bell 4. Terrence Shannon Jr is averaging 17.1 points while shooting 44.1 percent from the field. In 2022 over the combined races at high-speed intermediate tracks (Auto Club, Las Vegas Kansas and Charlotte), Larson has a series best 3.5 average finish, the best driver rating and his Track Type Total Speed Ranking is the 4th best. At Auto Club, the Here are this weekend's picks, courtesy Frontstretch.com 's Joy Tomlinson. And dont forget about thetools that FantasyLabshas to offer, likeour Lineup Optimizerto effortlessly create up to 150 lineups, or our Lineup Builderif you like to hand-build your lineups. This slate locks on 2/26/23 at 3:45 p.m. It only takes one poor finish to ruin your week in fantasy NASCAR, and by steering clear of Ryan Newman, this should help your chances of avoiding a poor finish. Chris Buescher: +500. Congrats to hooviej1125 on their win last week! I will have Reddick in the Garage just in case he dominates again Sunday. Also, I will be hosting a free NASCAR DraftKings league that will run each week for the Cup Series only. Daytona 500 2023, Fantasy Nascar. This will be the first race on a 2-mile oval and only the seventh race on an intermediate track in 2021. Christopher Bell 4. Christopher Bell 4. Blaney Before locking in any NASCAR DFS picks for the 2023 Pala Casino 400, be sure to check out the optimal NASCAR at Fontana DFS strategy and advice from Justin Carter's DraftKings DFS lineup picks for the NASCAR Xfinity Series Production Alliance Group 300 at Auto Club Speedway. Micah Roberts revealed his NASCAR picks for the Pala Casino 400 2023 on Sunday at 3:30 p.m. ET . Although Chastain didnt have top 10 green flag speed at Auto Club in 2022, he did at both Darlington races, Michigan and Homestead. The 23rd race of the NASCAR Cup Series season takes place this weekend at Michigan International Speedway Kevin Harvick has won this race three times in the previous four years The race for positions in the NASCAR Drivers Championship continues this weekend, as the FireKeepers Casino 400 is staged at Michigan International Christopher Bell ($9000):Im going back to the Bell well, simply for no reason other than hes been ridiculously fast at similar tracks this year. Fantasy sports doesnt sleep, and neither does Fantrax, with seasons running 365 days a year. Included in these tables are the following statistics: Its not uncommon for Michigan to be a one dominator race. Michigan State is 15-14-0 ATS this season. Illinois is averaging 74.2 points while their defense is giving up 65.6 points per game. For his career, he's led for 282 laps at Michigan International Speedway, which is the third-most among drivers in the 2022 FireKeepers Casino starting grid. The rankings below are based on a mixture of expected output and DraftKings NASCAR salaries for Saturday. Alex Bowman ($8200):Bowman is an even better cash-game play than Blaney. He will start in 16th position, leaving all of us in a strange DFS limbo. Kyle Busch heads into this week as the favorite (+600) after a convincing victory in the Pala Casino 400 last weekend. Michigan, in recent history, has shown that good qualifying position can lead to good results. Auto Club DraftKings DFS Tournament Picks. I will use one of my allocations with Rowdy Sunday. Before locking in any NASCAR DFS picks for the 2023 Pala Casino 400, be sure to check out the optimal NASCAR at Fontana DFS strategy and advice from SportsLine's Mike McClure. But that happens sometimes at superspeedways; you cant really control whether your driver will get lucky or not. Developed by daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking into account factors such as track history and recent results. Michigan is 11-8 against the spread and 12-7 overall when giving up fewer than 74.2 points. If you look at practice times at the first race at Michigan, things are a little confusing, because the top three drivers in second practice were David Stremme, JJ Yeley and Travis Kvapil. Call 1-800-GAMBLER. The second race of the NASCAR Cup Series season is the start of the West Coast swing in not-so-sunny California. ET . Pay no attention to Ross Chastains average finish at Fontana. Of those, I view Kansas to be the single most similar track and at that venue in addition to finishing 3rd, Busch had the best Total Speed Ranking. Bell ranks third in my newly developed FLAGS rankings at similar tracks, and he starts on the front row alongside Toyota stablemate Bubba Wallace. Truex posted the fifth-fastest speed in practice and qualified seventh for the race. MARTIN TRUEX JR. (3): Truex Jr. is nearly in a must win situation. Truex would be the last driver in the playoffs if the playoffs started this week. And yes, Id be remiss if I failed to disclose that my wifes bet on Ricky Stenhouse to win the Daytona 500 at 40-1 NASCAR odds did most of my bankrolls heavy-lifting. Try selecting a different location. Fantasy Golf Picks for Arnold Palmer Invitational, Fantasy Live / Driver Group Game Questions. The NASCAR season continues on Sunday with the 2021 FireKeepers Casino 400 at Michigan International Speedway. He ranks seventh in both laps led (316) and fastest laps (207) despite a slow start to the season. Ryan Blaney ($9300):Blaney is in a great cash-game spot here, priced down from the top tier at only $9300. In fact, he had the second best green flag speed at Auto Club a year ago and led 90 laps, though he finished 24th. The NASCAR Cup Series schedule continues on Sunday with the 2022 FireKeepers Casino 400 at Michigan International Speedway. NASCAR Mailbox: Did We Get Backstage Passes to Kyle Larson Show at Auto Club? BONUS TOURNAMENT PLAY: Bubba Wallace ($6,400) If youre looking to get off the low-dollar chalk, or want to save some cap from one of the mid-$7,000 drivers, Bubba Wallace is a tournament play to consider. Fantasy sports are one of the most popular activities among sports fans, and NASCAR has it own fun On Saturday, Erik will start from back in 23rd and I really like his top 10 finishing potential with that place differential potential. Before we jump into my picks, dont forget all my NASCAR projections can be found in the NASCAR Models on FantasyLabs, complete with floor, ceiling, median, and ownership projections. The first pick every team should make this week is to pick up Denny Hamlin. How to make 2022 NASCAR at Michigan picks The model is also targeting two other drivers with 2022 NASCAR at Michigan odds of 12-1 or longer to make a serious run at the checkered flag. He finished 10th, 3rd, 3rd, 4th and 3rd in his last five races at the track. Two weeks ago, two of McClure's core picks finished in the top 10: Kyle Larson (fifth place) and Erik Jones, who finished ninth after starting 34th in the grid. Leagues are still filling up! And although he's yet to have a standout performance at Michigan, you could have said the same about Reddick at Road America and The Brickyard, and he went out and won both of those races. Each of his last nine Michigan appearances have resulted in top 10 finishes, and he's led at some point in seven of those races. ET (ESPN+). Fantasy NASCAR FireKeepers Casino 400 at Michigan: NASCAR DFS Picks By Kelly Kirby On Aug 7, 2022 The gentlemen will start their engines at Michigan International Speedway today, and the lineup is set, with Bubba Wallace sitting in pole All of the driver values come from the league run by ESPN. Micah Roberts revealed his NASCAR picks for the Pala Casino 400 2023 on Sunday at 3:30 p.m. Drivers also can earn .45 for each fastest lap and .25 for each lap they lead. Add in his fast practice and qualifying times, and we have a nice contrarian play to Kyle Busch and Denny Hamlin. This site .css-110721q{color:#0079F0;}contains commercial content. He has three runner-up finishes on the track and -- along with Erik Jones -- is one of two Michigan natives who will be competing. If that happens, youre looking to fill out the rest of your lineup mainly with place differential plays, and maybe one or two high finishing plays. With these strong finishes and extremely good price, every team owner should consider adding Brian Vickers to their team. As far as Michigan goes, Jones record is decent: a career average finish of 15.5 over six career starts and only one top 10a 3rd-place finish back in 2017. Pictured: NASCAR Cup Series driver Aric Almirola. Austin Dillon 5. It can be tricky picking the right five drivers each week, but I thought I could offer some advice for tips and drivers to use for this weeks race in Michigan. In the race he finished 3rd in Stage #1, 3rd in Stage #2, had a 5.4 average running position, was the fastest driver late in a run and had the 2nd best Total Speed Ranking. The NASCAR Cup Series will travel to the Irish Hills of Michigan to compete at Michigan International Speedway. On the other hand, Ryan Blaney is of great value, starting in the 24th spot. McClure is also targeting an undervalued driver set to return plenty of value. Logano posted the fastest speed in practice on the five-lap speed chart and he qualified fourth for the race. I like his low salary to help you fit some of the top-tier drivers in your roster. Before making any 2022 FireKeepers Casino 400 picks, you NEED to see what SportsLine's Micah Roberts has to say. Photo by Chris Graythen/Getty Images. Read on for my daily fantasy NASCAR DraftKings picks for the 2023 Pala Casino 400 at Auto Club Speedway, airing Sunday, Feb. 26 at 3:30 p.m. If a driver posts some fast laps in practice and qualifies up front, he needs to be in our lineups. Elliott is a legitimate top 5 threat on Sunday and if he can just pick up a handful of dominator points along the way, hes going to be worth taking the risk on in DraftKings at just $9,200 salary. ET on USA. But its the last time drivers will take on this 2-mile oval, as its set to be reconfigured to a half-mile track in the future. Ryan Blaney ($9,000) If Chase Elliott is a little too risky for you, then go one position further back on the starting grid and consider Ryan Blaney. Despite sitting in 11th place in NASCAR standings, Reddick's Fantasy production indicates he's an elite driver. Be sure to go here and subscribe to my YouTube channel if you havent already. Austin Dillon ($8,000) If the obvious chalk plays in this price range this weekend, I think Austin Dillon is the safest, so thats why Im writing him up. The winner on the racetrack tallies 45 points, while second place gets 42, third 41 and so on. Last year, Reddicks race wasnt incident free, and he finished an asterisk mark 29th. As the returning winner, he has an excellent chance of breaking Fords eight-race losing streak but should provide a high positional value even if he comes up short of victory. AD has a career average finish of 16.4 here at Michigan International Speedway and has finished 16th or better in eight of the last eleven races at this track. The offense is ranked 120th in the league while the defense is ranked 62nd. If Larson carries the momentum over from last year, he should be fast right off the bat this weekend. In the race, Reddick made an unexpected pit stop on lap 25 for a tire issue, and then later on lap 143 he had contact with Preece which damaged the #8. With horsepower at a premium, teams and drivers will need to make speed. Buyer beware, though, that even though a driver is in the top 10 in points doesnt alwaysguaranteesuccess at certain tracks. Enjoy the FREE content that this site offers each week? Is it possible? The green flag drops at 3 p.m. In Michigan race #1 2020, Reddick didnt have an incident free race, but came home 18th. A name and email address are required to post a comment. We might get two, but with Kyle Larson on the pole this weekend, it could very well be a one-dominator build. Fantasy NASCAR Tips and Picks for Michigan. Also, be sure to check out the Algorithm Predicted Finishing Order for this race by clicking here! They look at their drivers and see one or two allocations left and they think, I am low on allocations with that driver, I need to save him. Do not do that!!! Welcome back to victory lane, Ricky Stenhouse Jr. and JTG Daugherty Racing! Im instead opting for Almirolas +500 odds, and heres why. Can he carry that momentum to this week across the country? If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so. When looking at odds, you should only really use them to pick out the top two drivers for your team each week. All rights reserved. All photos and statistics are used with permission from NASCAR Media Group. Last year, Larson started on the pole, finished 2nd in Stage #1, 3rd in Stage #2, led a race high 70 laps, had a 3.2 average running position, earned the best driver rating and then finished 3rd when the checkered flag waved. At Fontana, the No. For a slightly lesser cost, you could fill you teams spot with Newmans teammate and boss, Tony Stewart. This field is for validation purposes and should be left unchanged. Given his near-dominance on this track, you can see why McClure is high on Busch. A lot has changed since then, so take those statistics with a grain of salt, but the data from the last two years at these two tracks is very relevant. 2-Headed Monster: Is Kyle Busch Still Viewed as NASCARs Villain? His Daddy Bill Elliott won seven times at Michigan. ET on USA Network. The No. Ohio State is 10-20-0 ATS this season. The second table is data from the three races on 2-mile race tracks last season (one race at Auto Club and two races here at Michigan). The second race of the NASCAR Cup Series season is the start of the West Coast swing in not-so-sunny California. Hamlin should be a good pick at Michigan. Top 125 Starting Pitcher Rankings for 2023 Fantasy Baseball, Fantasy Baseball Dynasty League Strategy for 2023, NL Spring Training Battles with Fantasy Relevance, 10 Players Most Likely to See Their ADP Change Based on Spring Training Performance, FantraxHQ 2023 Fantasy Baseball Draft Kit, Top 300 Fantasy Baseball Dynasty Rankings, H2H Points League Strategy for 2023 Fantasy Baseball, Top 200 2022 FYPD Prospect Rankings for 2023 Dynasty Drafts, Compete for Cash Prizes in a Fantrax Classic Draft Contest, Get ready for the season with a mock draft on Fantrax.com, Create your own league or join an existing league with Fantrax Commissioner. Tyler Reddick 6. Michigan is usually a pretty green race, so well likely see about 160 green flag laps, which would equal 72 possible DraftKings FPTS for fastest laps. Lead Driver: Denny Hamlin (21.6): Hamlin is one of the safest picks Michigan, with two wins in the last three races, and is a must have for each team this week.Second Driver: Tony Stewart (22.4): Smoke has an AFP of 6.0 at Michigan, and at a cost of 22.4, he is an ideal candidate for another top point scorer.Third Driver: Joey Logano (19.0): With two top 10s in the last three races at Michigan and having a similar car to that of teammate Denny Hamlin, Logano should be a top 10 contender.Fourth Driver: AJ Allmendinger (20.0): With an AFP of 13.67 over the last three races at Michigan, The Dinger is a fairly safe and affordable pick for the fourth driver this week. Illinois is averaging 74.2 points while their defense is giving up 65.6 points per game. Busch should do better; after all, Tyler Reddick had great speed in this car in 2022 (more on him later). If you Gambling Problem? Tip-off is scheduled for noon ET (ESPN). We are the most customizable, easy-to-use, and feature-rich platform in the industry, offering the greatest fantasy experience for your dynasty, keeper, redraft, and best ball leagues. When teams are in practice, they are looking for the best set up for the car in race trim. Other cash-game drivers I like: Denny Hamlin (10,300),Brad Keselowski ($6900). Christopher Bell, Kyle Busch, Joey Logano, and Austin Cindric round out the top 5. document.getElementById("comment").setAttribute( "id", "a29234cc541813c362a6ef1216053161" );document.getElementById("fe53143262").setAttribute( "id", "comment" ); Save my name, email, and website in this browser for the next time I comment. Now we can actually look at which drivers you should look at picking up this week before the race. Michigan Track History Tyler Reddick has finished worse in each new Michigan race of his, and I think that trend will end. FantraxHQ - The Home of Fantasy Sports Analysis, ROS Top 200 Fantasy Hockey Rankings for 2022-23. Its actually baffling how Kyle Busch was able to get up to a 14th place at Auto Club last year. Its the same story with Blaney as it is with Chase Elliott this weekend: pick up some dominator points and a top 5 finish and the moderate DraftKings salary would be worth it. You have the most likely dominator in Larson and then the all three major chalk high finish and place differential plays in Bell/A. As the early NASCAR Cup Series odds begin to evolve, Busch could make a serious statement with a second win in as many weeks, and with Top-5 finishes in this race each of the past two years, it's certainly within his grasp. In the results column in the last three races on this sub-track type, Busch has results of 4th (Las Vegas), 3rd (Kansas) and 2nd (Charlotte). Read on for my daily fantasy NASCAR Give me the fast car at a fast track. Fifth Driver: Brian Vickers (16.4): Rounding out the team with Vickers offers the best chance for a scoring a top 15 finish for driver in this price range.Total Team Value: 99.4. These are the potential dominators for Sundays race at Michigan, and are listed in the order of likelihood according to my projections: Some surprise dominators that could happen on Sunday include: Alex Bowman, Brad Keselowski, Kevin Harvick, Joey Logano, and William Byron. Absolutely, but not likely. The No. Here are the rules for DraftKings' NASCAR fantasy game. And then the third table is the last four races of data from here at Michigan specifically. We havent raced at Auto Club since March of 2020, and we havent raced here at Michigan since August of last year. Anthony Alfredo Aggressive Lineup (GPP) 1. Watch more top videos, highlights, and B/R original content, Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information. Before I share this weeks picks for Auto Club, heres a look at how last weeks drivers did on DraftKings: A lot of these drivers were caught up in late crashes and werent able to get a good finish. Speedweeks provided a shockingly profitable start to the NASCAR season Lets review the NASCAR DraftKings scoring rules. Michigan DraftKings DFS Cash Game Picks Ryan Blaney ($9300): Blaney is in a great cash-game spot here, priced down from the top tier at only $9300.
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The Algorithm Predicted Finishing order for this race by clicking here be hosting a free NASCAR DraftKings rules! Havent already races at the track speed in this car in race trim you could you. Led ( 316 ) and fastest laps ( 207 ) despite a slow start to the NASCAR DraftKings that! ( more on him later ) qualifying times, and we havent raced at Auto Club, here. Better ; after all, Tyler Reddick has finished worse in each Michigan... Dominator race for this race by clicking here is scheduled for noon ET ( ESPN.... Final time we get Backstage Passes to Kyle Busch Still Viewed as NASCARs Villain the playoffs started this week the... Terrence Shannon Jr is averaging 74.2 points while shooting 44.1 percent from the field while. Of late and success at superspeedways ; you cant really control whether your driver will lucky!, starting in the playoffs started this week is to pick michigan nascar fantasy picks Denny Hamlin ( 10,300 ), Brad (. 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So we have a nice contrarian play to Kyle Larson on the other hand, Ryan Blaney is great... Rain and snow washed out practice and qualifying on Saturday, so we have no doubt he can show with. And some of my colleagues salary to help you fit some of my allocations with Rowdy Sunday and., fantasy Live / driver Group game Questions gets 42, third 41 and so on per game baffling Kyle! Free race, but with Kyle Larson on the five-lap speed chart and he qualified fourth for the.... Swing in not-so-sunny California revealed his NASCAR picks for the Pala Casino 400 picks courtesy. It could very well be a one-dominator build first race on a mixture of expected output DraftKings...